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Walking the Geopolitical Tightrope: Pakistan’s Multi-Vector Diplomacy in a Post-Conflict South Asia
Maryam Azam
Analysis Series
Analysis/0053/July/2026/London-Dialogue. 27 July 2026
Introduction
The brief yet intense multi-domain crisis of May 2025 was a pivotal moment for South Asian security. In addition to its immediate military and tactical implications, the conflict also shattered long-held beliefs about the stability of crises in the presence of nuclear weapons. From 23rd April to 10th May 2025, the conflict ascended several stages of the escalation ladder, moving from diplomatic crisis and coercive signalling to limited precision strike, retaliation, and multi-domain escalation as both sides used coercive diplomacy, air, land, cyber, and electronic warfare techniques. The magnitude and speed of escalation between two nuclear powers were unprecedented and alarming. It bought a major transformation in the foreign policy discourse of Pakistan. One of the major realisations was to opt for a diverse, active, and pragmatic foreign policy instead of relying on a single strategic partnership. It also completely shattered the narrative of India as the sole net security provider of South Asia. The structural recalibration of Pakistan’s foreign policy in the aftermath of the May 2025 war with India created space for Pakistan to shift from the traditional bloc-based alliances into a multi-vector foreign policy approach. The multi-vector foreign policy approach aims to avoid geopolitical dependence on any one major power; rather, it intends to manoeuvre with a number of states to attain an advantageous position for its own state. Consequently, it increases the bargaining capacity, tactical position, and strategic autonomy of the state within the international system. Pakistan, situated in a complex geopolitical environment, can leverage its multivectorism in the long term to effectively manage its diplomatic relations with Washington, Beijing, Moscow, and Riyadh. In recent times, Iran has also become a crucial component of Pakistan’s geopolitical and geo-economic framework.
The decoupling strategy in Pakistan’s foreign policy in its post-2025 posture seeks to diversify its strategic alignment and diplomatic engagement among the major and emerging global power centres. This shift is substantial because it is not only a geopolitical shift, but it would also have a dominant impact on the economic, social, and political landscapes of Pakistan.
The Architecture of Multi-Alignment: Balancing Washington, Beijing, and Beyond
One of the major challenges to pursuing a multi-vector approach is the delicate balance in Pakistan’s relationship with the competing regional powers. The consistency in the long-term strategic partnership with China and resetting its engagement with the United States are core elements in Pakistan’s foreign policy matrix. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is pivotal in situating the spectrum of Pakistan-China relations that has expanded from defence to economy, infrastructure and energy. In addition, the 2025 war also became a contestation of Chinese and Western military hardware. It provided the Chinese an opportunity to show the prevalence of their military gear and integrated web of Chinese systems to the world. On the other hand, Pakistan effectively utilised military technology supplied by China and received technical and possible intelligence support during the May 2025 conflict, which greatly improved its operational capabilities. This cooperation not only benefited Pakistan on the battlefield but also provided Pakistan with greater diplomatic leverage by reinforcing the credibility of their strategic partnership with China. This strengthened their bargaining position in regional and international forums and demonstrated the value of the longstanding security relationship between Islamabad and Beijing. In terms of foreign policy, the conflict demonstrated Pakistan’s ability to rely on Chinese political, technological, and strategic support, thereby enhancing their capacity to navigate regional security challenges and present themselves as a resilient actor in the evolving Asian strategic landscape. On the other hand, economic relations between Pakistan and China still need a substantial boost to tap the potential of the CPEC project and strategic partnership. Despite this, Pakistan, since 2025, reignited CPEC 2.0, strengthened its partnership with China with more strategic clarity and also somewhat evolved and supported China’s extended role in the Gulf and Middle East.
The US played an active role in the Pakistan-India conflict in May 2025 through its diplomatic engagement and efforts to facilitate a ceasefire and promote de-escalation. This reflects its continued significant and influential position in the geopolitical landscape of South Asia. Pakistan continues to develop US-Pakistan ties on security, counter-terrorism, climate finance, and economic cooperation, aiming at a multi-vector engagement strategy. The success of Pakistan in the war and explicit endorsement by President Donald Trump were perceptively utilised for nation branding and foreign policy posturing by Pakistan. Consequently, Pakistan effectively played a role in the security framework of West Asia. Pakistan has chosen to maintain a cautious diplomatic neutrality in the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran. This approach has elevated Pakistan’s international standing as a responsible member of the international community, known for its constructive efforts in mediation, dialogue, and de-escalation. In addition, Pakistan’s defence agreement with Saudi Arabia in September 2025, its extensive shuttle diplomacy with Iran during the crisis, institutional partnership with Kuwait, defence and security cooperation with the UAE, and evolving economic partnership with Qatar reflect Pakistan’s significant role and strategic placement in West Asian security architecture. Pakistan has been able to successfully position itself as an important military training partner through military diplomacy in the Gulf and the Middle East. However, Pakistan needs a robust economic diplomacy model in its foreign policy that can benefit Pakistan in the long term. Another key emerging actor in Pakistan’s foreign policy is Russia. Pakistan-Russia relations have been steadily improving since 2011, albeit at a slow and cautious pace. This upward trajectory of bilateral relationships is significant, but the geopolitical dynamics of the region, Russia’s partnership with India, and the historical position of Pakistan in the Cold War remain strong factors defining their diplomatic engagement. However, the overall diplomatic and economic engagement has significantly increased. Pakistan should continue to develop its partnership with Russia, mainly focusing on the non-traditional factors, including counter-terrorism, food security, and energy instead of any military and defence-related initiatives. In addition, as part of Pakistan’s foreign policy approach of active engagement, on 28th May 2025, a trilateral summit between Pakistan, Türkiye and Azerbaijan committed to greater diplomatic cooperation. To enhance its influence, Pakistan aims to establish connections with regional power centres through the use of soft power and smart power, which is a beneficial strategy for increasing its influence. In this context, Pakistan must adhere to the evolving multi-vector approach by incorporating the geopolitical and geo-economic paradigm to address persistent economic challenges. The inclusion of a geo-economic paradigm will prioritise regional economic connectivity to boost trade and energy corridors and foreign direct investment (FDI), along with technology transfer and innovation. Central Asian States are an important dimension in Pakistan’s multi-vector foreign policy due to their geopolitical and geo-economic intersection. It can be a source of regional connectivity, energy resources and potential markets. Pakistan needs to be more active in materialising its vision Central Asia approach through the completion of projects and addressing the security issues.
The diplomatic comeback of Pakistan in the post-May 2025 war can be observed on various multilateral forums. Multilateral diplomacy is another factor in Pakistan’s foreign policy that has given Pakistan important leverage to frame itself as a responsible actor. The United Nations features Pakistan as the longest-serving and largest contributor in UN peacekeeping operations. Currently more than 6000 military and police officers are contributing to peacekeeping; however, since 1960, over 235,000 troops have been deployed in 48 missions. Though Pakistan was elected as a non-permanent member of UNSC in 2024 for 2025-2026, its post-2025 active participation and call for dialogue, conflict resolution and diplomacy reinforced Pakistan’s international standing. In addition, Pakistan assumed the role of monthly presidency in July 2025, which enhanced its diplomatic visibility and provided a platform for developing a narrative on peace, conflict, security and dialogue. It was a diplomatic advantage for Pakistan to get this rotation-based seat after the May 2025 war. Pakistan’s participation in major multilateral and regional forums like Shanghai Cooperation (SCO) summit in China on 1st September 2025, World Governments Summit in Dubai on 10th February 2025, the Emergency Arab-Islamic Summit in Doha on 15th September 2025, and Sharm el Sheikh Peace Summit in Egypt on 13th October 2025 reflected its continuity and expansion in its foreign policy approach. While some of these gatherings convened in response to emerging regional challenges, others were pre-scheduled platforms that provided Pakistan with opportunities to project a proactive, confident, and multidimensional foreign policy approach. Through these engagements, Pakistan sought to strengthen strategic partnerships, advance regional cooperation, and reinforce its role as an active participant in shaping regional and global diplomatic discourse.
Conclusion
The real driving factor in actively pursuing a multi-vector approach in Pakistan’s foreign policy in the post-May 2025 conflict is Pakistan’s ability to maintain credible deterrence. It altered the external perception for Pakistan about its strategic vulnerability and limited retaliation window. Rather, it demonstrated operational discipline, calibrated response and political resolve for stability and peace in the region. Consequently, Pakistan’s international standing, trust and perception as a security stabiliser state enormously increased, as witnessed in the ongoing US-Iran conflict. However, Pakistan is confronted with major structural and security challenges. The resurgence of militancy in Pakistan, its volatile relations with Afghanistan and deadlock with India are deeply connected with its foreign policy discourse. In addition, political stability within Pakistan is directly linked with an independent and robust foreign policy. Pakistan gained strategic opportunities, diplomatic space and geopolitical advantage in the post-May 2025 conflict, but it remains Pakistan’s responsibility to determine how geopolitical advantages will be converted into geo-economic leverage.
Maryam Azam
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